Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009898 0.011811 0.014155 0.017291 0.021468 0.026971 0.035014
2025-06-01 0.007222 0.009313 0.012181 0.016574 0.023473 0.034585 0.055614
2025-06-08 0.006094 0.008282 0.011532 0.017033 0.026892 0.045832 0.092263
2025-06-15 0.005218 0.007352 0.010702 0.016804 0.028921 0.055912 0.140607
2025-06-22 0.004450 0.006422 0.009635 0.015794 0.028964 0.061864 0.189724
2025-06-29 0.004037 0.005974 0.009260 0.015919 0.031419 0.075904 0.307870
2025-07-06 0.003774 0.005724 0.009168 0.016559 0.035399 0.098846 0.593057
2025-07-13 0.003624 0.005641 0.009355 0.017838 0.041819 0.140330 1.595894
2025-07-20 0.003423 0.005435 0.009264 0.018459 0.046822 0.186828 4.965373
2025-07-27 0.003199 0.005157 0.008979 0.018529 0.050174 0.234221 20.524066
2025-08-03 0.003010 0.004922 0.008746 0.018669 0.053983 0.299214 446.469833
2025-08-10 0.002791 0.004607 0.008294 0.018106 0.054760 0.344587 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002536 0.004217 0.007674 0.017068 0.053616 0.378081 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002330 0.003908 0.007201 0.016365 0.053784 0.438253 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002224 0.003784 0.007123 0.016816 0.060027 0.656038 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002089 0.003588 0.006850 0.016591 0.062731 0.864162 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001926 0.003321 0.006375 0.015598 0.060370 0.920676 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001839 0.003203 0.006245 0.015720 0.065065 1.367351 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001784 0.003149 0.006260 0.016350 0.074087 2.623946 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001760 0.003155 0.006429 0.017606 0.090228 8.438181 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001708 0.003098 0.006424 0.018216 0.102739 31.009686 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001640 0.002997 0.006292 0.018285 0.110633 140.471858 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001580 0.002909 0.006183 0.018423 0.120067 7969.302655 NaN